Longueau vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
14º
14º
36
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
LON
1 - 1
AMI
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AAC
3 - 1
LON
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
LIL
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LON
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
CHA
19%
19%
62%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIM
3 - 2
AAC
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
VIM
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIM
1 - 0
USM
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
VIM
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIM
0 - 3
LEN
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |