Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FCK
0 - 2
ESB
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ESB
0 - 0
SON
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MID
1 - 1
ESB
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VEJ
1 - 1
ESB
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ESB
2 - 2
RAN
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BIF
2 - 0
AGF
67%
20%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 1
VEJ
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 2
RAN
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
FCN
0 - 0
AGF
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
AGF
2 - 1
OBK
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |