Danish Superliga Round 31

Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis

Esbjerg AGF Aarhus
76 ELO 65
15.4% Tilt 11.8%
1100º General ELO ranking 296º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.1%
Esbjerg
18.3%
Draw
11.6%
AGF Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
Esbjerg
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.6%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Esbjerg
-13%
-15%
AGF Aarhus

ELO progression

Esbjerg
AGF Aarhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Esbjerg
Esbjerg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2008
ESB
Esbjerg
3 - 2
Midtjylland
MID
47%
25%
28%
76 80 4 0
07 May. 2008
OBK
Odense BK
1 - 1
Esbjerg
ESB
50%
26%
24%
75 82 7 +1
04 May. 2008
ESB
Esbjerg
3 - 2
Randers
RAN
55%
23%
21%
75 73 2 0
01 May. 2008
BIF
Brøndby IF
3 - 2
Esbjerg
ESB
56%
22%
23%
76 81 5 -1
27 Apr. 2008
FCK
Kobenhavn
2 - 1
Esbjerg
ESB
53%
24%
23%
76 83 7 0

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2008
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 1
Brøndby IF
BIF
26%
26%
47%
64 81 17 0
08 May. 2008
AAB
Aalborg BK
3 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
68%
20%
12%
64 82 18 0
03 May. 2008
AGF
AGF Aarhus
0 - 2
Odense BK
OBK
26%
26%
48%
65 82 17 -1
27 Apr. 2008
RAN
Randers
4 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
58%
24%
18%
65 73 8 0
24 Apr. 2008
FCK
Kobenhavn
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
65%
22%
13%
65 83 18 0