ES Setif vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
ORA
1 - 2
SET
38%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SET
2 - 1
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
SET
0 - 0
ALG
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SET
3 - 1
MSI
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
JSK
0 - 0
SET
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
USM
1 - 1
HUS
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
USM
3 - 0
USM
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
USM
0 - 0
ALG
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
USM
1 - 3
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DTA
1 - 2
USM
33%
33%
35%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |