Turkish Süper Lig Round 18

Erzurumspor vs Fenerbahçe analysis

Erzurumspor Fenerbahçe
68 ELO 85
11.2% Tilt -7.4%
738º General ELO ranking 200º
32º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.5%
Erzurumspor
22.8%
Draw
59.7%
Fenerbahçe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
Erzurumspor
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.7%
Win probability
Fenerbahçe
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erzurumspor
+3%
+16%
Fenerbahçe

ELO progression

Erzurumspor
Fenerbahçe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erzurumspor
Erzurumspor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2021
IST
İstanbul Başakşehir
1 - 0
Erzurumspor
ERZ
69%
19%
12%
69 81 12 0
02 Jan. 2021
ERZ
Erzurumspor
1 - 1
Gaziantep
GFK
30%
26%
44%
69 78 9 0
27 Dec. 2020
YEN
Yeni Malatyaspor
1 - 3
Erzurumspor
ERZ
60%
23%
17%
68 75 7 +1
23 Dec. 2020
ERZ
Erzurumspor
1 - 2
Denizlispor
DEN
48%
24%
28%
69 68 1 -1
20 Dec. 2020
BJK
Beşiktaş
4 - 0
Erzurumspor
ERZ
71%
18%
11%
69 81 12 0

Matches

Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2021
FEN
Fenerbahçe
2 - 1
Alanyaspor
ALA
59%
21%
20%
84 82 2 0
04 Jan. 2021
KAS
Kasımpaşa
0 - 3
Fenerbahçe
FEN
29%
24%
46%
84 76 8 0
23 Dec. 2020
FEN
Fenerbahçe
4 - 1
İstanbul Başakşehir
IST
58%
22%
21%
84 81 3 0
19 Dec. 2020
GFK
Gaziantep
3 - 1
Fenerbahçe
FEN
26%
25%
49%
84 76 8 0
16 Dec. 2020
FEN
Fenerbahçe
1 - 0
Karacabey Birlikspor
KAR
89%
8%
2%
84 54 30 0