Erpeldange vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
YBD
2 - 4
ERP
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ERP
3 - 3
OBE
48%
22%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
USM
2 - 2
ERP
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ERP
0 - 0
FFN
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 2
ERP
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 2
VIC
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 0
YBD
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OBE
0 - 1
SWI
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 0
USM
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SWI
5 - 0
FFN
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |