Oberliga NRW. Jor. 31

Erndtebrück vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis

Erndtebrück Arminia Bielefeld II
19 ELO 37
1.3% Tilt 3.2%
10838º General ELO ranking 28135º
622º Country ELO ranking 1228º
ELO win probability
14.9%
Erndtebrück
18.7%
Draw
66.3%
Arminia Bielefeld II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
Erndtebrück
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66.3%
Win probability
Arminia Bielefeld II
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Erndtebrück
Arminia Bielefeld II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erndtebrück
Erndtebrück
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2012
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
2 - 1
Erndtebrück
ERN
82%
12%
6%
20 37 17 0
28 Apr. 2012
ERN
Erndtebrück
1 - 2
Viktoria Köln
VIK
13%
20%
67%
20 50 30 0
20 Apr. 2012
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
2 - 2
Erndtebrück
ERN
72%
16%
12%
20 30 10 0
14 Apr. 2012
ERN
Erndtebrück
3 - 3
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
26%
23%
51%
19 29 10 +1
11 Apr. 2012
ERN
Erndtebrück
0 - 4
Siegen Sportfreunde
SPO
16%
21%
64%
21 41 20 -2

Matches

Arminia Bielefeld II
Arminia Bielefeld II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2012
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
8 - 0
Westfalia Herne
WHE
86%
10%
4%
37 10 27 0
02 May. 2012
AAA
Alemannia Aachen II
1 - 3
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
44%
23%
33%
36 35 1 +1
22 Apr. 2012
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
6 - 0
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
68%
18%
14%
35 24 11 +1
15 Apr. 2012
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
0 - 0
MSV Duisburg II
MSV
40%
25%
36%
35 38 3 0
11 Apr. 2012
VIK
Viktoria Köln
4 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld II
ABI
71%
17%
12%
36 50 14 -1
X