Erlenbach vs Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ERL
2 - 3
AMB
28%
26%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ERB
2 - 1
ERL
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ERL
2 - 0
FCS
14%
18%
67%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
DJJ
5 - 0
ERL
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ERL
0 - 3
AUB
10%
20%
71%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
WEI
4 - 1
ERB
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 2
WEI
37%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
WEI
0 - 5
DJJ
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
AUB
4 - 0
WEI
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
WEI
2 - 2
VIK
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |