Erlenbach vs Jahn Forchheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 1
ERL
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ERL
2 - 2
ELT
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MEM
2 - 3
ERL
22%
23%
56%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
JFO
3 - 1
ERL
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ERL
2 - 1
JRE
29%
24%
48%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Forchheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
JFO
2 - 3
EIC
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
JFO
1 - 1
BAY
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 0
JFO
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
JFO
3 - 1
ERL
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
JFO
1 - 3
AMM
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |