Erlangen-Bruck vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 0
ERB
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GER
0 - 2
ERB
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ERB
1 - 4
FRO
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ERB
0 - 3
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ERB
2 - 0
TSV
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
HEI
4 - 1
BAY
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
HEI
2 - 5
ROS
25%
24%
52%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WUR
4 - 0
HEI
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EIN
3 - 2
HEI
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 2
GRO
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |