Oberliga Bayern North Round 5

Erlangen-Bruck vs Ammerthal analysis

Erlangen-Bruck Ammerthal
29 ELO 21
8% Tilt -0.4%
29608º General ELO ranking 6072º
854º Country ELO ranking 305º
ELO win probability
71.2%
Erlangen-Bruck
16.6%
Draw
12.2%
Ammerthal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
Erlangen-Bruck
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.2%
Win probability
Ammerthal
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erlangen-Bruck
-7%
-55%
Ammerthal

ELO progression

Erlangen-Bruck
Ammerthal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erlangen-Bruck
Erlangen-Bruck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2012
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
0 - 2
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
36%
24%
40%
28 23 5 0
28 Jul. 2012
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
3 - 4
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
45%
23%
32%
29 31 2 -1
24 Jul. 2012
SCH
Schweinfurt
5 - 3
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
72%
16%
11%
29 36 7 0
21 Jul. 2012
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
0 - 3
DJK Bamberg
DJJ
81%
13%
7%
30 16 14 -1
19 May. 2012
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
4 - 3
Bayern Hof
BAY
20%
25%
56%
26 41 15 +4

Matches

Ammerthal
Ammerthal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2012
AMM
Ammerthal
1 - 2
Würzburger FV
WUR
23%
22%
55%
22 32 10 0
28 Jul. 2012
SEL
Selbitz
1 - 2
Ammerthal
AMM
32%
24%
44%
21 18 3 +1
24 Jul. 2012
AMM
Ammerthal
4 - 1
Hollfeld
HOL
79%
14%
7%
21 12 9 0
20 Jul. 2012
AUB
Aubstadt
2 - 0
Ammerthal
AMM
77%
15%
8%
21 35 14 0