Oberliga Oberliga West Round 14

SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Köln analysis

SpVgg Erkenschwick Köln
39 ELO 56
3% Tilt -10.4%
6330º General ELO ranking 97º
314º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
47.9%
SpVgg Erkenschwick
23.4%
Draw
28.7%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
SpVgg Erkenschwick
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.7%
Win probability
Köln
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SpVgg Erkenschwick
-74%
+3%
Köln

ELO progression

SpVgg Erkenschwick
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SpVgg Erkenschwick
SpVgg Erkenschwick
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 1952
PRE
Preußen Münster
7 - 0
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
78%
13%
9%
41 48 7 0
23 Nov. 1952
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 1
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
84%
10%
6%
41 51 10 0
16 Nov. 1952
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
3 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
43%
22%
35%
39 55 16 +2
02 Nov. 1952
BVB
B. Dortmund
3 - 1
SpVgg Erkenschwick
ERK
90%
6%
4%
40 53 13 -1
26 Oct. 1952
ERK
SpVgg Erkenschwick
2 - 3
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
61%
19%
20%
40 45 5 0

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 1952
KOL
Köln
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen
LEV
64%
18%
18%
56 56 0 0
23 Nov. 1952
BVB
B. Dortmund
4 - 2
Köln
KOL
67%
17%
16%
57 54 3 -1
16 Nov. 1952
KOL
Köln
4 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
70%
16%
14%
57 52 5 0
02 Nov. 1952
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1 - 2
Köln
KOL
49%
24%
28%
56 46 10 +1
26 Oct. 1952
KOL
Köln
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
63%
18%
19%
55 55 0 +1