Erizana vs CD Estradense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
ERI
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ERI
4 - 4
USD
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 4
ERI
41%
22%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ERI
1 - 1
UDA
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VER
1 - 2
ERI
38%
23%
40%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
58%
23%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
USD
1 - 2
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
EST
2 - 2
CUL
47%
25%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |