Eritrea vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
OMA
1 - 0
ERI
88%
9%
3%
|
34 | 81 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SDN
0 - 2
ERI
78%
14%
7%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
2 - 1
ERI
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
3 - 2
UGA
9%
18%
73%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
2 - 3
ERI
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
GAM
2 - 1
SLE
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
BRN
2 - 0
SLE
16%
22%
63%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GNB
0 - 0
SLE
25%
24%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
SLE
1 - 0
GNB
60%
22%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
SLE
0 - 2
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |