Eritrea vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ANG
6 - 1
ERI
83%
12%
4%
|
26 | 79 | 53 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
YEM
4 - 1
ERI
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ERI
0 - 0
SWZ
10%
17%
73%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
KEN
1 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 0
SDN
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 25 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MUS
1 - 2
SDN
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
0 - 0
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
2 - 0
TKM
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
6 - 1
SOM
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | +1 |