Eritrea vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BDI
1 - 1
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
8%
19%
73%
|
14 | 76 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SYC
1 - 0
ERI
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 70 | 56 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
ERI
0 - 0
SOM
30%
24%
46%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | +4 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 1
SDN
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 2
SDN
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZAM
28%
25%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
EGY
3 - 0
SDN
83%
13%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2002 |
JOR
0 - 0
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |