Erith & Belvedere vs Dereham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 2
ERI
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ERI
1 - 4
WHI
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
HEY
7 - 0
ERI
84%
10%
5%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ERI
1 - 2
AVE
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 2
ERI
50%
22%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DER
10 - 1
WAL
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RED
0 - 1
DER
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DER
5 - 1
AVE
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 2
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 2
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |