Erith & Belvedere vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
ERI
0 - 2
BER
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BAE
1 - 2
ERI
78%
14%
7%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 1
ERI
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ERI
1 - 2
WIN
32%
24%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
DAR
1 - 1
ERI
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
ARL
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ARL
1 - 1
TIL
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
WIV
4 - 1
ARL
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
ARL
3 - 2
AVE
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
CHA
3 - 1
ARL
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |