Erema vs Port Moresby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ERE
3 - 1
GLM
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ERE
0 - 3
HEK
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ERE
3 - 2
HUA
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ERE
1 - 2
RAP
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Port Moresby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
HEK
2 - 0
PAG
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 0
RAP
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GLM
3 - 2
PAG
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 3
HUA
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LAE
3 - 1
PAG
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |