Malawi League Round 5

Civil Sporting vs Big Bullets analysis

Civil Sporting Big Bullets
31 ELO 33
-6.7% Tilt -16.5%
23804º General ELO ranking 9670º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.4%
Civil Sporting
23.9%
Draw
18.7%
Big Bullets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
Civil Sporting
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.7%
Win probability
Big Bullets
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Civil Sporting
Big Bullets
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Civil Sporting
Civil Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2018
EPA
Civil Sporting
2 - 1
Kamuzu Barracks
KAM
49%
24%
27%
32 32 0 0
28 Apr. 2018
KUN
Karonga United
1 - 2
Civil Sporting
EPA
51%
23%
26%
32 32 0 0
21 Apr. 2018
BLU
Blue Eagles
0 - 1
Civil Sporting
EPA
47%
26%
28%
32 32 0 0
15 Apr. 2018
MSS
Masters Security
1 - 1
Civil Sporting
EPA
53%
22%
25%
32 32 0 0
23 Dec. 2017
SIL
Silver Strikers
2 - 1
Civil Sporting
EPA
49%
25%
26%
32 32 0 0

Matches

Big Bullets
Big Bullets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2018
TNS
TN Stars
0 - 4
Big Bullets
BUL
63%
20%
17%
32 32 0 0
01 May. 2018
NCH
Nchalo United
1 - 2
Big Bullets
BUL
62%
21%
17%
32 32 0 0
28 Apr. 2018
MWF
Be Forward Wanderers
0 - 0
Big Bullets
BUL
58%
24%
18%
32 32 0 0
22 Apr. 2018
BUL
Big Bullets
2 - 0
Moyale Barracks
MOY
49%
24%
27%
32 32 0 0
15 Apr. 2018
KAM
Kamuzu Barracks
0 - 1
Big Bullets
BUL
56%
25%
20%
32 32 0 0