Mingachevir FK vs Araz Saatli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+2099%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mingachevir FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
FKQ
3 - 0
ENE
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 0
ENE
10%
15%
76%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
ENE
0 - 1
ZAQ
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
DAG
0 - 1
ENE
7%
13%
81%
|
40 | 5 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ENE
0 - 2
IRV
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Araz Saatli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
AST
0 - 1
SHA
10%
18%
73%
|
6 | 60 | 54 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
AST
1 - 4
IRV
16%
18%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
AST
0 - 1
MOI
9%
17%
75%
|
7 | 56 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
FKQ
3 - 0
AST
80%
14%
6%
|
7 | 59 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
AST
1 - 5
KAR
14%
21%
66%
|
7 | 64 | 57 | 0 |