Encamp vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Encamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 3
FCE
25%
22%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FCE
4 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UEE
4 - 0
FCE
62%
20%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCE
4 - 2
FCS
57%
21%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCE
3 - 0
SCO
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 3
LUS
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LAM
0 - 6
PEN
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
ATL
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
4 - 1
PEN
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
UEE
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | +1 |