Emulation vs Good Luck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
EMU
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
EMU
1 - 0
EUC
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESS
1 - 1
EMU
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EMU
1 - 1
RCS
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
0 - 2
EMU
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +4 |
Matches
Good Luck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
GOO
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GOO
1 - 2
SAM
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
EUC
3 - 2
GOO
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GOO
0 - 0
ESS
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RCS
0 - 4
GOO
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |