Emulation vs Case-Pilote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EMU
2 - 1
USM
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
EMU
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EMU
1 - 2
GOL
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AIG
2 - 0
EMU
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
EMU
0 - 0
SAM
35%
24%
42%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CLU
0 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
GOL
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ESS
3 - 0
CAS
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
RCR
53%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
NSD
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |