Emilio Alave vs Fancesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
75.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emilio Alave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
EMI
2 - 3
GAR
11%
21%
68%
|
9 | 66 | 57 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PET
3 - 0
EMI
81%
14%
5%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
EMI
0 - 2
CIC
11%
21%
68%
|
9 | 67 | 58 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FAN
4 - 1
EMI
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fancesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
GAR
4 - 2
FAN
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 2
PET
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CIC
3 - 0
FAN
82%
13%
6%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FAN
4 - 1
EMI
87%
10%
4%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |