Emérita Augusta vs Athletic Fregenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
EME
38%
23%
40%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EME
3 - 3
UDF
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EME
1 - 1
CDB
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BIE
3 - 1
EME
38%
23%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
EME
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
BEL
19%
21%
60%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
ATH
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
OLV
38%
22%
40%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
ATH
78%
14%
8%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 1
ATH
62%
18%
20%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |