CS Emelec vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BSC
0 - 0
EME
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2007 |
SCI
3 - 0
EME
59%
24%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
EME
4 - 3
LIG
48%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
EME
1 - 1
OLM
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 3
QUI
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LIG
2 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 1
CUE
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
OLM
2 - 1
MAC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 2
IMB
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |