CS Emelec vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 2
EME
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
EME
4 - 0
QUI
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
EME
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
EME
1 - 1
BSC
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
EME
3 - 1
OLM
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOB
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
DAN
1 - 2
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
VEL
3 - 0
DAN
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 0
VEL
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |