CS Emelec vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LDU
0 - 1
EME
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
EME
1 - 0
OLM
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
EME
1 - 0
OLM
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
EME
5 - 0
SAM
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 2
FLA
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
PAL
4 - 1
AVA
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 0
AVA
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AVA
5 - 0
CEA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |