Wales Second Division Round 32

Ely Rangers vs Afan Lido analysis

Ely Rangers Afan Lido
30 ELO 45
2.3% Tilt 11.4%
31260º General ELO ranking 6074º
153º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
23.2%
Ely Rangers
23.9%
Draw
52.9%
Afan Lido

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
Ely Rangers
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.9%
Win probability
Afan Lido
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ely Rangers
-3%
-56%
Afan Lido

ELO progression

Ely Rangers
Afan Lido
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ely Rangers
Ely Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2007
NEA
Neath Athletic
4 - 0
Ely Rangers
ERA
84%
11%
5%
30 54 24 0
11 Apr. 2007
ERA
Ely Rangers
0 - 2
Ton Pentre
TON
23%
24%
53%
31 45 14 -1
07 Apr. 2007
GOY
Goytre United
7 - 3
Ely Rangers
ERA
80%
13%
7%
32 50 18 -1
31 Mar. 2007
ERA
Ely Rangers
2 - 3
Newport YMCA
NWP
45%
24%
31%
33 35 2 -1
24 Mar. 2007
ERA
Ely Rangers
0 - 0
Croesyceiliog
CRO
42%
24%
34%
33 37 4 0

Matches

Afan Lido
Afan Lido
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2007
LID
Afan Lido
3 - 1
Newport YMCA
NWP
60%
23%
17%
45 35 10 0
11 Apr. 2007
CRO
Croesyceiliog
2 - 1
Afan Lido
LID
30%
26%
45%
46 37 9 -1
07 Apr. 2007
LID
Afan Lido
3 - 3
Pontypridd United
PON
34%
27%
39%
46 50 4 0
03 Apr. 2007
NWP
Newport YMCA
1 - 1
Afan Lido
LID
28%
25%
47%
47 36 11 -1
31 Mar. 2007
LID
Afan Lido
1 - 1
Welshpool Town FC
WEL
15%
22%
64%
46 65 19 +1