Elverum vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
53.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
8º
3º
74
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
KON
0 - 3
ELV
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ELV
3 - 0
IFC
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 2
ELV
27%
22%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ELV
5 - 1
FBG
91%
6%
3%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 1
ELV
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 3
HON
13%
17%
70%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HON
4 - 1
KON
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 5
HON
6%
14%
80%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HON
5 - 0
MJO
91%
7%
2%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 5
HON
9%
16%
75%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |