SV Elversberg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Elversberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HOF
3 - 1
ELV
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
OFC
0 - 3
ELV
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ELV
4 - 1
BAH
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
VFR
2 - 2
ELV
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ELV
0 - 0
FRE
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HOM
2 - 1
OFC
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 5
ULM
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BAH
2 - 0
HOM
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
HOM
2 - 1
VFR
45%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
FRE
2 - 2
HOM
39%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |