Elmshorn vs TSV Buchholz 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CUR
0 - 4
ELM
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
ELM
3 - 0
NIE
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
EIN
2 - 3
ELM
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ELM
1 - 2
HAL
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
ELM
4 - 2
CON
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +3 |
Matches
TSV Buchholz 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
EIN
2 - 2
BUC
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 1
HAL
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CON
3 - 3
BUC
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 1
BUC
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 1
BER
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |