Elgin City vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EAS
2 - 0
ELG
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
ELG
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
DUM
1 - 4
ELG
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ELG
2 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 0
ELG
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MON
0 - 2
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
STE
1 - 1
STR
44%
25%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
ELG
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
STR
2 - 1
FOR
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
STR
2 - 0
DUM
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |