Elche vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
50%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
EXT
2 - 0
ELC
29%
27%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 0
PON
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NUM
1 - 1
ELC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 1
CDT
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
OVI
0 - 2
ELC
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 1
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FUE
2 - 2
RAY
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
RAY
1 - 1
ALM
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 1
RAY
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 0
RAC
81%
14%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |