El Pardo vs Jarama Race analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+467%
+143%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Pardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ORO
1 - 2
EPA
36%
23%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EPA
0 - 0
JUS
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CCA
3 - 1
EPA
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
EPA
5 - 1
CFR
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ATA
3 - 1
EPA
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jarama Race
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
JRR
0 - 4
CCA
16%
21%
63%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CFR
8 - 3
JRR
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ATA
1 - 0
JRR
62%
20%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JRR
0 - 2
SSD
25%
21%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RSR
2 - 1
JRR
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |