El Linqueño vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 3
LIN
25%
25%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LIN
2 - 1
CDC
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 1
RAO
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
GUT
1 - 3
LIN
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 1
DEF
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALV
1 - 0
RAO
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
GUT
1 - 1
ALV
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALV
0 - 0
DEF
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 4
ALV
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CDC
1 - 1
ALV
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | -1 |