Oberliga Bayern Nord round 17

Eintracht Bamberg vs ASV Neumarkt analysis

Eintracht Bamberg ASV Neumarkt
40 ELO 24
16.6% Tilt 3.7%
5927º General ELO ranking 6229º
287º Country ELO ranking 307º
ELO win probability
82.2%
Eintracht Bamberg
11.2%
Draw
6.6%
ASV Neumarkt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
Eintracht Bamberg
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.6%
Win probability
ASV Neumarkt
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eintracht Bamberg
-37%
-41%
ASV Neumarkt

Points and table prediction

Eintracht Bamberg
Their league position
ASV Neumarkt
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
13º
44
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Eintracht Bamberg
ASV Neumarkt
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Eintracht Bamberg
ASV Neumarkt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
1 - 4
Eintracht Bamberg
EIN
23%
21%
56%
38 27 11 0
15 Oct. 2022
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
4 - 0
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
84%
10%
6%
38 25 13 0
07 Oct. 2022
KOR
TSV Kornburg
0 - 2
Eintracht Bamberg
EIN
21%
21%
57%
37 27 10 +1
24 Sep. 2022
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
2 - 0
Eltersdorf
ELT
47%
21%
32%
36 37 1 +1
17 Sep. 2022
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
3 - 1
SV Donaustauf
SVD
58%
20%
22%
35 32 3 +1

Matches

ASV Neumarkt
ASV Neumarkt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
0 - 1
Würzburger FV
WUR
42%
23%
35%
25 26 1 0
14 Oct. 2022
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
4 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
73%
15%
12%
26 35 9 -1
08 Oct. 2022
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
3 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
48%
22%
30%
27 27 0 -1
24 Sep. 2022
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
1 - 2
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
60%
19%
21%
27 23 4 0
16 Sep. 2022
KOR
TSV Kornburg
0 - 2
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
46%
23%
32%
26 27 1 +1