Einheit Wernigerode vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
16º
10º
31
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Einheit Wernigerode
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SVB
0 - 1
EWD
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EWD
1 - 3
SVG
44%
22%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
EWD
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EWD
4 - 1
RSV
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUE
3 - 1
EWD
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIS
0 - 2
BIS
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 1
WIS
59%
19%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
WIS
24%
19%
57%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 2
SVG
60%
19%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
WIS
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |