Eimsbütteler TV vs Phönix Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
15º
18º
16º
65
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
95% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
95% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 50 |
8º
|
37.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
75% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
51.5% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
99.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eimsbütteler TV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BWL
1 - 0
EIM
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
EIM
1 - 4
STP
39%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 2
EIM
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 5
EIM
16%
17%
68%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
EIM
2 - 3
SUD
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Phönix Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FCP
5 - 1
VFB
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCP
7 - 0
JED
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 2
FCP
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 0
HAN
48%
22%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
FCP
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |