EGS Gafsa vs ES Métlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
3º
20
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TAT
1 - 0
EGS
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
CAB
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
EGS
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
EGS
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
BEN
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
ASD
55%
27%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
TAT
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ETO
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |