EGS Gafsa vs US Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
3º
19
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
EGS
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 0
OLY
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 2
EGS
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 3
STA
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ETO
2 - 1
EGS
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
EGS
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
BEN
45%
29%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
BEN
53%
28%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
ETO
35%
30%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |