Ligue 1 round 4

EGS Gafsa vs AS Marsa analysis

EGS Gafsa AS Marsa
73 ELO 74
4.5% Tilt -5.2%
3431º General ELO ranking 3231º
16º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
49.4%
EGS Gafsa
26.1%
Draw
24.5%
AS Marsa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
EGS Gafsa
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.5%
Win probability
AS Marsa
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EGS Gafsa
+7%
+11%
AS Marsa

ELO progression

EGS Gafsa
AS Marsa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EGS Gafsa
EGS Gafsa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2015
CSS
CS Sfaxien
3 - 1
EGS Gafsa
EGS
47%
27%
26%
73 73 0 0
20 Sep. 2015
STA
Stade Gabésien
1 - 0
EGS Gafsa
EGS
41%
29%
30%
73 73 0 0
13 Sep. 2015
EGS
EGS Gafsa
2 - 3
ES Zarzis
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
73 73 0 0
31 May. 2015
ESP
ES Tunis
4 - 1
EGS Gafsa
EGS
58%
23%
19%
73 73 0 0
12 May. 2015
EGS
EGS Gafsa
3 - 0
AS Gabès
GAB
47%
26%
27%
73 73 0 0

Matches

AS Marsa
AS Marsa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2015
ASD
AS Marsa
0 - 2
Stade Gabésien
STA
49%
27%
24%
73 73 0 0
20 Sep. 2015
ZAR
ES Zarzis
0 - 0
AS Marsa
ASD
43%
28%
29%
73 73 0 0
16 Sep. 2015
ASD
AS Marsa
3 - 1
ES Tunis
ESP
51%
27%
22%
73 72 1 0
05 Aug. 2015
CSH
CS Hammam-Lif
0 - 0
AS Marsa
ASD
43%
26%
30%
74 74 0 -1
23 May. 2015
USM
US Monastir
1 - 3
AS Marsa
ASD
45%
28%
27%
73 73 0 +1