KF Egnatia vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
10º
3º
40
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Egnatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
KRU
2 - 3
EGN
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
EGN
0 - 1
BYL
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
VLZ
0 - 1
EGN
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EGN
2 - 0
LAÇ
29%
31%
40%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 0
EGN
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BYL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
LAÇ
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ERZ
3 - 3
PAR
21%
28%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
TEU
1 - 2
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 1
KRU
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |