Tacna Heroica vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 2
EGB
71%
18%
11%
|
14 | 58 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 2
UCV
15%
18%
67%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EGB
1 - 1
FCC
57%
23%
21%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
EGB
1 - 1
JSD
56%
21%
24%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CDJ
0 - 0
EGB
21%
20%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
COM
3 - 1
LOS
54%
22%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
DAG
1 - 0
COM
12%
17%
71%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
CIE
7 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
COM
0 - 12
SPC
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |