EFC vs Nemelaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 0
VLI
26%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TST
2 - 2
EFC
48%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
EFC
2 - 2
GEL
20%
21%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VVR
2 - 0
EFC
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
JEK
2 - 2
EFC
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nemelaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NEM
1 - 0
WSC
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 2
NEM
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NEM
2 - 1
VVR
51%
23%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RKJ
4 - 0
NEM
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NUL
3 - 3
NEM
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |