Villa de Marín vs Caldas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Marín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
POI
0 - 4
VDM
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VDM
1 - 3
CRU
30%
20%
50%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VDM
1 - 2
COT
47%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 4
VDM
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
VDM
26%
21%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 7
CES
26%
20%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 3
CRU
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
POI
2 - 1
CAL
48%
21%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SAL
5 - 1
CAL
73%
14%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 5
COT
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |