Ethio Electric vs Hadiya Hosaena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
11º
16º
16º
43
2º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethio Electric
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
AWK
1 - 0
MEH
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MEH
2 - 2
AMK
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
MEH
41%
28%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MEH
2 - 4
ETB
50%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
DIR
2 - 1
MEH
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hadiya Hosaena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
HAD
0 - 0
ADK
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ETB
0 - 1
HAD
49%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
HAD
0 - 2
BAH
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 0
HAD
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
HAD
2 - 2
AWK
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |