Oberliga Hessen Jor. 28

Eddersheim vs Fernwald analysis

Eddersheim Fernwald
38 ELO 33
-15.1% Tilt -4.8%
6849º General ELO ranking 7578º
260º Country ELO ranking 300º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Eddersheim
23%
Draw
26.1%
Fernwald

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
Eddersheim
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.1%
Win probability
Fernwald
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eddersheim
-20%
-12%
Fernwald

Points and table prediction

Eddersheim
Their league position
Fernwald
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
50
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Türkgücü Friedberg
71
74
100%
FC Giessen
73
73
100%
KSV Baunatal
67
67
100%
Bayern Alzenau
63
63
100%
Hanauer SC 1960
57
60
100%
Eddersheim
55
55
100%
Hünfelder SV
54
54
100%
Fernwald
50
50
100%
Adler Weidenhausen
50
50
100%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Waldgirmes
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Marburg
14º
34
34
13º
0%
FC Hanau 93
13º
34
34
14º
0%
SV Steinbach 1920
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Viktoria Griesheim
16º
33
33
16º
100%
FC Erlensee
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Dietkirchen
18º
24
24
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Eddersheim
Fernwald
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Eddersheim
Fernwald
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eddersheim
Eddersheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
FCE
FC Erlensee
0 - 3
Eddersheim
EDD
24%
22%
54%
36 24 12 0
07 Apr. 2024
EDD
Eddersheim
1 - 1
Hanauer SC 1960
HSC
52%
22%
27%
36 31 5 0
27 Mar. 2024
EDD
Eddersheim
2 - 0
FC Hanau 93
FCH
61%
21%
18%
35 26 9 +1
23 Mar. 2024
WAL
Waldgirmes
2 - 1
Eddersheim
EDD
30%
23%
47%
36 26 10 -1
17 Mar. 2024
EDD
Eddersheim
1 - 1
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
RWW
55%
22%
23%
35 29 6 +1

Matches

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
SVA
Adler Weidenhausen
3 - 0
Fernwald
FER
36%
22%
42%
35 30 5 0
06 Apr. 2024
FER
Fernwald
4 - 0
FC Erlensee
FCE
73%
16%
12%
34 25 9 +1
01 Apr. 2024
GIE
FC Giessen
0 - 1
Fernwald
FER
70%
19%
12%
33 47 14 +1
28 Mar. 2024
FER
Fernwald
0 - 1
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
EIN
62%
19%
19%
33 28 5 0
23 Mar. 2024
HSC
Hanauer SC 1960
0 - 3
Fernwald
FER
46%
22%
32%
31 32 1 +2
X