ECUS vs Mauá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+314%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ECU
4 - 0
MAN
37%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
1 - 1
ECU
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAU
24%
22%
55%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 1
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 3
BEB
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mauá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 1
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
FLA
23%
25%
53%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TAN
2 - 0
MFC
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TUP
2 - 0
MFC
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 2
TUP
39%
26%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |